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Published:2026/1/7 3:50:11

予測の不確実性、ギャル流に解明しちゃう💖

超要約:DeepONetの予測、不安をなくす魔法🪄✨

✨ ギャル的キラキラポイント ✨ ● DeepONet (ディープロネット) っていう、ちょーすごいモデル🤖💡 ● 予測の信頼度を数値化!「この予想、マジ?」が分かる💖 ● 計算コスト低め!リアルタイム利用も夢じゃない🌟

詳細解説いくよ~! ● 背景 最近話題の「オペレータ学習」って知ってる?偏微分方程式 (へんびぶんほうていしき) を解くのが得意なんだって!でも、予測がどれくらい信じられるか分からなかった💦 DeepONetはすごいんだけど、予測が正しいか自信がないと困るよね😭

● 方法 そこで、DeepONetの予測の「不確実性」(ふかくじつせい) を計算する方法を開発したんだって!予測と同時に「この予測は〇%くらい正しいよ!」って教えてくれるイメージ💡 計算も軽めだから、色んな場面で使えるのが嬉しい🎵

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Active operator learning with predictive uncertainty quantification for partial differential equations

Nick Winovich / Mitchell Daneker / Lu Lu / Guang Lin

With the increased prevalence of neural operators being used to provide rapid solutions to partial differential equations (PDEs), understanding the accuracy of model predictions and the associated error levels is necessary for deploying reliable surrogate models in scientific applications. Existing uncertainty quantification (UQ) frameworks employ ensembles or Bayesian methods, which can incur substantial computational costs during both training and inference. We propose a lightweight predictive UQ method tailored for Deep operator networks (DeepONets) that also generalizes to other operator networks. Numerical experiments on linear and nonlinear PDEs demonstrate that the framework's uncertainty estimates are unbiased and provide accurate out-of-distribution uncertainty predictions with a sufficiently large training dataset. Our framework provides fast inference and uncertainty estimates that can efficiently drive outer-loop analyses that would be prohibitively expensive with conventional solvers. We demonstrate how predictive uncertainties can be used in the context of Bayesian optimization and active learning problems to yield improvements in accuracy and data-efficiency for outer-loop optimization procedures. In the active learning setup, we extend the framework to Fourier Neural Operators (FNO) and describe a generalized method for other operator networks. To enable real-time deployment, we introduce an inference strategy based on precomputed trunk outputs and a sparse placement matrix, reducing evaluation time by more than a factor of five. Our method provides a practical route to uncertainty-aware operator learning in time-sensitive settings.

cs / cs.LG / math.PR